Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2668.140879 2891.529213 3118.462778 3365.938377 3627.895084 3896.607833 4192.765823
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2266.999670 2593.969992 2939.316340 3330.033567 3758.564313 4213.048321 4730.261927
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2048.879137 2440.489018 2866.044197 3360.344774 3916.146268 4519.273997 5220.660746
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1864.246444 2298.967281 2783.010606 3357.837500 4017.652570 4747.178546 5610.482192
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1751.293058 2225.484228 2764.620184 3416.982551 4178.805868 5034.229765 6061.036238
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1610.526687 2107.351416 2683.747917 3393.789523 4236.562435 5196.636314 6364.347768
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1539.433398 2065.916210 2687.407371 3464.717159 4400.020369 5478.375708 6804.294902
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1451.246067 1997.029339 2652.409503 3484.336058 4498.651426 5681.634935 7151.328522
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1364.402394 1924.051256 2607.313717 3487.055116 4573.216837 5853.824589 7460.307133
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1237.499615 1792.907242 2483.434083 3386.360246 4516.300211 5864.049547 7572.224269
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1216.055587 1796.571920 2527.799911 3494.503164 4715.833718 6184.463354 8059.213730
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1181.450509 1780.467099 2545.037025 3567.030031 4870.543703 6450.669656 8482.047808
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1116.047412 1721.017763 2505.022634 3566.270024 4934.506391 6608.197318 8776.955585
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1040.445347 1643.991500 2438.779638 3528.846953 4949.994347 6704.694060 8996.897597
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 997.234630 1609.407530 2426.784001 3560.507168 5052.636956 6909.543011 9351.807626
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 944.519296 1558.616960 2390.506071 3557.888419 5109.376729 7055.779110 9633.544462
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 918.435353 1544.502634 2403.039393 3619.657555 5249.781509 7308.549369 10050.761891
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 864.533401 1487.154429 2353.490899 3595.436897 5275.462323 7413.884939 10281.199617
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 846.837846 1482.305681 2376.424768 3669.501668 5431.346088 7687.101464 10726.824777
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 812.968231 1451.463454 2361.234096 3689.985446 5515.071062 7867.083312 11054.030372
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 775.646272 1413.534588 2334.328067 3692.824274 5574.115348 8014.624077 11339.917138
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 708.451127 1326.041819 2232.656635 3587.678073 5483.856410 7964.357128 11367.936700
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 708.023334 1343.610325 2284.719984 3700.600276 5692.437129 8309.080669 11912.124521